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    When to Write Off and When to Collect

    Sofia Lindqvist• Credit Risk AnalystMay 26, 20263 min read
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    A write-off is not a decision. It is the absence of one.

    You are staring at an aged receivable on a spreadsheet. It has been there long enough to have seniority. Someone in accounting has quietly stopped including it in cash flow projections. Nobody formally decided to abandon it — it drifted into the category of things nobody talks about.

    That drift has a cost, and it is not the cost you think.

    The arithmetic of abandonment

    Writing off a €100,000 debt gives you a tax deduction — at a 25% corporate rate, that saves you €25,000. Collecting the same debt at a 15% contingency fee nets you €85,000. The difference between these two numbers is €60,000.

    You would never walk past €60,000 on the floor. But you do it every quarter the receivable sits on the spreadsheet, unassigned and un-pursued, slowly losing recoverability while the tax deduction stays constant.

    The write-off saves you money the way amputation saves a leg. It works, but only when nothing else can.

    Three questions that decide

    Every international debt resolves into three questions, and the answers determine your route.

    Is the debtor solvent? If the company is still trading, still invoicing its own customers, still paying its employees — the money exists. It is being allocated elsewhere because your invoice has no consequences attached. A professional agency attaches consequences. If the company is genuinely insolvent, formal insolvency proceedings are the route, and speed matters more than strategy.

    Is the debt disputed? A debtor who says "I don't owe this" is a different problem from a debtor who says nothing. Genuine disputes — scope disagreements, quality claims, contract interpretation — may need legal resolution. But most "disputes" raised after a collection letter are tactical, not genuine. An experienced agency knows the difference within the first conversation.

    Is the jurisdiction enforceable? English courts, German courts, Dutch courts — these produce enforceable judgments that cross borders within the EU under Brussels I Recast. A debtor in a jurisdiction with no reciprocal enforcement treaty, no transparent court system, and no accessible assets is a different calculation. Not impossible, but the economics change.

    If the answers are yes, no, and yes — collect. Every week you wait costs you probability.

    The window

    Debt recoverability is not a plateau. It is a slope.

    At 30 days overdue: ~90% probability of recovery. At 90 days: ~80%. At 6 months: ~67%. At 12 months: below 50%. These numbers do not decline because the debt changes. They decline because the debtor changes — assets move, entities restructure, memories conveniently fade, and the accounting trail that proves your claim becomes harder to reconstruct.

    The write-off-or-collect decision has a shelf life. The longer you take to decide, the more the universe decides for you, and it does not decide in your favour.

    When writing off is correct

    There are debts not worth chasing. The debtor has been dissolved with no successor entity. The jurisdiction's courts are inaccessible or prohibitively slow. The amount is below €5,000 and the debtor is in a complex jurisdiction — the economics do not support the effort. The statute of limitations has expired.

    In these cases, the write-off is the right business decision, taken clearly and deliberately, not by default. The tax benefit is real. The closure is valuable. What is never correct is the third option: neither collecting nor writing off, leaving the receivable in accounting purgatory while its recoverability quietly bleeds to zero.

    Decide. Then act on the decision. Indecision is the most expensive option on the table.

    Free case assessment. 48-hour written response. If the debt isn't worth pursuing, we'll say so.

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